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Breaking down every remaining medal chance for Australia as record in sight

It’s always a frantic start to the Olympics for Australian fans, with medals galore in the pool, and a few other highlights always popping up across the opening week.

And then the swimming stops. And the Aussies slow down a bit.

But the Aussie contingent at Paris 2024 has given themselves a great shot at making history, with 13 gold medals already in the bag - five more than they won in Rio or London.

The record of 17, seen in Tokyo and Athens, is within reach, along with the 16 won in Sydney. And with 27 medals overall before Monday night, the Aussies will be hoping to get near a half-century, which they haven’t reached since 2004.


THE BOOMERS AND THE OPALS - BASKETBALL

It would take a massive effort for either Aussie team to win gold, given the might of the United States, but the men’s and women’s teams have qualified for the quarter-finals which was the minimum expected of both.

The Boomers finished second in their group on a tiebreaker, landing them a winnable quarter-final against Nikola Jokic’s Serbia, but they would be likely to face the USA in the semis. A bronze feels like the maximum here.

The Opals had higher hopes coming into Paris, and did win two games in the group stage, but weren’t at all convincing until their clutch win over France on Monday morning.

Ironically the Aussie women will also take on Serbia in their quarter-final, and would also be likely to face the USA in the semis, making it difficult to see them winning more than bronze.

Schedule

Men’s Quarterfinal (Australia vs Serbia) - Tuesday August 6 at 10:30pm

Women’s Quarterfinal (Australia vs Serbia) - Wednesday August 7 at 7pm

Men’s Semifinals - Friday August 9 at 1:30am and 5am

Women’s Semifinals - Saturday August 10 at 1:30am and 5am

Men’s Bronze Medal Match - Saturday August 10 at 7pm

Men’s Gold Medal Match - Sunday August 11 at 5:30am

Women’s Bronze Medal Match - Sunday August 11 at 7:30pm

Women’s Gold Medal Match - Sunday August 11 at 11:30pm

MARIAFE ARTACHO DEL SOLAR AND TALIQUA CLANCY - WOMEN’S BEACH VOLLEYBALL

The Tokyo silver medallists took care of business in their opening knockouts game on Monday morning, defeating their in-form Brazilian opponents in straight sets.

At the stunning backdrop of the Eiffel Tower Stadium the Aussies are 3-1, having lost to the Americans in the pool stage, but they cannot face that pairing again until a potential final.

Artacho Del Solar and Clancy will face unbeaten Switzerland in the quarter-finals, and would face either Latvia, Brazil or Japan in the semis.

Schedule

Women’s Beach Volleyball Quarterfinal (Australia vs Switzerland) - Wednesday August 7 at 5am

Women’s Beach Volleyball Semifinals - Friday August 9 at 1am, 2am, 5am and/or 6am

Women’s Beach Volleyball Bronze Medal Match - Saturday August 10 at 5am

Women’s Beach Volleyball Gold Medal Match - Saturday August 10 at 6:30am


MINJEE LEE AND HANNAH GREEN - WOMEN’S GOLF

The Aussie men missed the medals but our superstar women loom as a stronger chance.

Green, currently ranked No.7 in the world, and Lee, ranked No.11, have both won major championships with Green claiming two LPGA titles this year alone.

Schedule

Women’s Golf Rounds 1 to 4 - Wednesday August 7 to Saturday August 10, first tee times 5pm

MATTHEW DENNY - MEN’S DISCUS THROW

After missing bronze in Tokyo by less than 5cm, Denny roared into the final after cruising through the qualification round on Monday evening.

Denny hit 66.83 metres, second behind Lithuania’s Mykolas Alekna, automatically advancing after meeting the qualification standard.

Denny won gold at the 2022 Commonwealth Games and in the 2023 Diamond League suggesting he’s one of the favourites to medal.

Schedule

Men’s Discus Throw Final - Thursday August 8 from 4:25am

NINA KENNEDY - WOMEN’S POLE VAULT

The final will be a bit more packed than anyone expected after 11 athletes hit 4.55 metres... but the top 12 had to advance, meaning a nine-way tie sent a total of 20 competitors through.

But Kennedy, the joint reigning world champion, will clearly be amongst the medal contenders as one of six to clear 4.55 metres on their first attempt.

Schedule

Women’s Pole Vault Final - Thursday August 8 from 3am


MACKENZIE LITTLE AND KELSEY-LEE BARBER - WOMEN’S JAVELIN THROW

A dual world champion and Tokyo bronze medallist, Barber would’ve been the Australian favourite 12 months ago, but her decline in form has been matched by Little’s rise.

Little, a doctor, is at her second Olympics and in red-hot form having won at the Diamond League in London just days before the Australian pre-Games camp.

Schedule

Women’s Javelin Throw Final - Sunday August 11 from 3:40am

AUSTRALIA - MEN’S AND WOMEN’S WATER POLO

Both the Sharks (men) and Stingers (women) are into the knockout stage, with Australia having not medalled at a Games since the Stingers claimed bronze in 2012.

The women went unbeaten through the group stage, including two penalty shootout wins, beating both the Netherlands and Hungary on route to a quarter-final against Greece.

The men were guaranteed to finish second in their group heading into their final game against winless Japan on Monday night, and will place the third-place team from the other group in their quarter-final. The Sharks have never finished higher than 5th at an Olympics.

Schedule

Women’s Quarterfinal (Australia vs Greece) - Wednesday August 7 at 3am

Men’s Quarterfinals (Australia’s match TBC) - Wednesday August 7 at 10pm and 11:35pm, Thursday August 8 at 3am and 4:35am

Women’s Semifinals - Thursday August 8 at 10:35pm and Friday August 9 at 3:35am

Men’s Semifinals - Friday August 9 at 10:35pm and Saturday August 10 at 3:35am

Women’s Bronze Medal Match - Saturday August 10 at 6:35pm

Women’s Gold Medal Match - Saturday Augut 10 at 11:35pm

Men’s Bronze Medal Match - Sunday August 111 at 6:35pm

Men’s Gold Medal Match - Sunday August 11 at 10pm


MATT WEARN - MEN’S DINGHY SAILING

The Tokyo gold medallist in the men’s one-person laser event, Wearn led the field through eight races with two held over Monday night/Tuesday morning, and was already bound for the medal race.

Schedule

Men’s Dinghy Medal Race - Tuesday August 6 at 11:43pm

JESSICA HULL - WOMEN’S 1500 METRES

Hard to see the Aussie beating Olympic and world champion Faith Kipyegon, but the 27-year-old ran the fifth-fastest time in event history behind the Kenyan a few weeks back at a Diamond League event.

Hull then backed up her career-best form with a world record in the 2000m, which isn’t an Olympic event, saying “the way I have trained this year is to put myself in a position to medal in Paris”.

Schedule

Women’s 1500m Round 1 - Tuesday August 6 at 6:05pm

Women’s 1500m Repechage Round - Wednesday August 7 at 8:45pm

Women’s 1500m Semifinal - Friday August 9 at 3:35am

Women’s 1500m Final - Sunday August 11 at 4:25am


AUSTRALIA AND MATTHEW RICHARDSON - TRACK CYCLING

The Aussies have always found success in the velodrome and Paris should be no different with a few major medal chances.

Richardson is the nation’s best individual hope, aiming at the podium in the Sprint and Keirin, while the Men’s Team Sprint and Team Pursuit crews are also big threats.

Schedule

Men’s Team Sprint, First Round (Australia) - Wednesday August 7 at 2:59am

Men’s Team Pursuit, First Round (Australia) - Wednesday August 7 at 3:14am

Men’s Team Sprint, Finals (Australia) - Wednesday August 7 at 4:07am

Men’s Sprint, Qualifying (Matthew Richardson) - Wednesday August 7 at 8:45pm

Men’s Sprint, 1/32 Finals (Matthew Richardson) - Wednesday August 7 at 10:30pm

Men’s Team Pursuit, Finals (Australia) - Thursday August 8 at 2:33am

Men’s Sprint, 1/16 and 1/8 Finals (Matthew Richardson) - Thursday August 8 at 1:30am and 3:38am

Men’s Sprint, Quarterfinals (Matthew Richardson) - Friday August 9 at 2:01am, 2:47am and 3:18am

Men’s Sprint Semifinals (Matthew Richardson) - Friday August 9 at 10:41pm, 11:29pm and 11:52pm

Men’s Sprint Finals (Matthew Richardson) - Saturday August 10 at 2am, 3:02am and 3:38am

Women’s Madison Final (Australia) - Saturday August 10 at 2:09am

Men’s Keirin First Round and Repechages (Matthew Richardson) - Sunday August 11 at 1:19am and 3:21am

Men’s Keirin Quarterfinals, Semifinals and Final (Matthew Richardson) - Sunday August 11 at 7:29pm, 8:29pm and 9:32pm

MADDISON KEENEY - WOMEN’S 3M SPRINGBOARD DIVING

The Aussie team of Keeney and Anabelle Smith suffered heartbreak in the 3m synchro event very early in the Games when Smith slipped on the final dive, seeing them fall from the bronze medal position to fifth.

Keeney, 28, won bronze in the synchro in Rio and claimed gold in the individual event at the 2022 Commonwealth Games.

Schedule

Women’s 3m Springboard Semifinal - Thursday August 8 at 6pm

Women’s 3m Springboard Final - Friday August 9 at 11pm

KEEGAN PALMER - MEN’S PARK SKATEBOARDING

It hasn’t been a great start for our Aussie skaters, but Palmer won the inaugural Men’s Park event in Tokyo and is a genuine chance to repeat the feat.

Schedule

Men’s Park Prelims - Wednesday August 7 at 8:30pm

Men’s Park Final - Thursday August 8 at 1:30am

CHARLIE SENIOR AND CAITLIN PARKER - MEN’S AND WOMEN’S BOXING

Australia hadn’t won an Olympic boxing medal in 33 years before Harry Garside’s Tokyo breakthrough; now they’ve won three across two Olympiads.

Both Senior and Parker are into the semi-finals, where even the losers are guaranteed bronze medals, with 75kg hope Parker to become the first Aussie woman to win an Olympic boxing medal once her tournament ends. (Women’s boxing has only been an event since 2012.)

She faces China’s Li Qian on Thursday morning, with Senior fighting Uzbekistan’s Abdumalik Khalokov just 30 minutes earlier in the 57kg semi-finals.

Schedule

Men’s 57kg Semifinal (Charlie Senior) - Friday August 9 at 5:30am

Women’s 75kg Semifinal (Caitlin Parker) - Friday August 9 at 6:02am

Men’s 57kg Final (Charlie Senior?) - Sunday August 11 at 5:47am

Women’s 75kg Final (Caitlin Parker) - Sunday August 11 at 6:34am

JEAN VAN DER WESTHUYZEN AND TOM GREEN - CANOE SPRINT MEN’S KAYAK DOUBLE

Perhaps the Australian team’s least-heralded reigning gold medallists, Green and van der Westhuyzen will combine again in the K2 500 metres - half the distance of the Tokyo event where they won gold.

Green is also in action in the single 1000-metre event.

Schedule

Men’s Kayak Double 500m Heats - Tuesday August 6 from 7:30pm

Men’s Kayak Double 500m Quarterfinals - Tuesday August 6 from 10:30pm

Men’s Kayak Double 500m Semifinals - Friday August 9 from 7:10pm

Men’s Kayak Double 500m Final A - Friday August 9 from 9:30pm

CASSIEL ROUSSEAU - MEN’S 10M PLATFORM DIVING

A former Australia’s Got Talent finalist, Rousseau won gold at the 2022 Commonwealth Games and 2023 world championships, the first Aussie to win the men’s 10m platform world title.

He combined with Domonic Bedggood to finish 6th in the synchronised 10m platform final but looms as a true podium chance in the individual event.

Schedule

Men’s 10m Platform Semifinal - Saturday August 10 from 6pm

Men’s 10m Platform Final - Saturday August 10 from 11pm

Max Laughton from Fox Sports

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